Country Risk Analysis
BACKGROUND:
Emerging market economies experienced a decade of rapid growth and has been considered an attractive destination for different forms of foreign investments. Having led a global boom and then helped pull the world economy out of the financial crisis, some emerging economies have slowed down recently. Do you still see emerging markets an attractive investment destination?
PROJECT TOPIC:
To invest or have a long-term presence in a foreign country, you will have to deal with additional risks not present in domestic business activities. The additional risks are so-called country risks in international business. The objective of this project is to identify and evaluate country risks that may decrease the expected return of a cross-border investment (portfolio and/or foreign direct investment) in an emerging market economy of your choice.
(((( I choose India)))
Your report should follow the format stated below:
1- An executive summary (within one page)
Part I. Provide a general overview of the nation’s international investment environment by elaborating on at least three of the following aspects:
• Overall economic size and stability (GDP, demographics, socioeconomic state, urban/rural, 10 year general macro economic data, general economic, financial, political, and social stability, etc.)
• Business infrastructure
• Legal/bureaucratic environment (imports, local manufacture, taxation, etc.)
• Competition in market
• Managerial and labor climate/resources
• Financial viability (profit margin, currency, profit repatriation, etc.)
• Business culture
Based on the overview, discuss the pros and cons of investing in the country((India))
. Identify the major soft and hard barriers that may hold you back from making cross-border investment in the particular economy.
** Here is SOME online sources may help:
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html – CIA (Central Intelligence Agency) World Factbook
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2011/01/weodata/index.aspx — World Economic Outlook data provided by IMF
https://www.economist.com/countries/ –EIU (Economist Intelligence Unit country briefings)
https://www.nationmaster.com — – interesting country rankings and statistics
The Joint External Debt Hub (JEDH)—jointly developed by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the World Bank (WB)—https://devdata.worldbank.org/sdmx/jedh/jedh_home.html
FID.net (World Bank)
https://www.pri-center.com/ (World Bank Political Insurance Center)
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